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A time-series model attempts to identify:


A) patterns of changes in a single variable over time.
B) possible links between a dependent variable and a single independent variable over time.
C) possible links between a dependent variable and one or more independent variables over time.
D) the key factors that help predict future economic events.
E) patterns of forecast errors over time.

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Liza is a manager of a leading soft drink manufacturing firm. Liza uses 10 months data and estimates the following demand equation: Q = 10 - .5P + 1.5Y + .25PR (2) (.17) (.75) (.50) where P is the price of the soft drink manufactured by Liza's firm, Y refers to household per capita income, and PR is the price of a rival soft drink manufacturing firm. The standard errors of the coefficients are given in the parentheses. Which of the explanatory variables have significant effects on the demand for soft drink manufactured by Liza's firm? Explain. (At 95% confidence level, the relevant t-statistic for 6 degrees of freedom is 1.94)

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In order to determine the significance o...

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You are a newly hired marketing trainee for a local corporation. Senior management has wondered how other local firms view your company's reputation. One suggestion is to call a variety of managers from a master contact list of firms that your firm has done business with over the last 12 months and ask them what they think of the company. How reliable is this kind of survey method?

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Using the firm's own contact list is a v...

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In contrast to simple regression, multiple regression considers:


A) several dependent variables rather than one.
B) several independent variables rather than one.
C) more than one dependent and independent variable.
D) multiple equation specifications in order to find the best statistical fit.
E) both times-series data and cross-section data.

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If a study examines several different markets at the same time, and compares outcomes with conditions in each market, it is specifically using:


A) time series data.
B) censored data.
C) controlled data.
D) truncated data.
E) cross-sectional data.

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What are the different categories into which a time-series pattern can be broken? Briefly describe each.

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A time-series can be broken into four co...

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If a forecaster is analyzing sales of gasoline in a large city during the next two years, which time-series component is likely to be most important?

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Over 10 years, the general gro...

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The equation Q = a + bt + ct2 represents:


A) a quadratic trend.
B) a linear trend.
C) a smooth downward trend.
D) a harmonic trend.
E) an exponential trend.

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How would a forecaster determine which functional form of an equation to use to predict a variable?

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A forecaster would most likely use regre...

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The difference between the predicted value and the actual value of a variable in a regression analysis is called:


A) absolute divergence.
B) estimation error.
C) standard error.
D) mean deviation.
E) variance.

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Which of the following can be used to correct for seasonality in time-series modeling?


A) Error terms
B) Binomial coefficients
C) Dummy variables
D) Stochastic constants
E) Confidence intervals

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A response bias occurs when:


A) responses do not reflect the true preferences and attitudes of respondents.
B) insufficient sample size tends to lower the variability of the responses.
C) the questions do not reflect the true intentions of the surveyor.
D) different versions of the question are targeted to different segments of respondents.
E) the large sample size makes it difficult for the surveyor to reconcile the various responses.

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Heteroscedasticity occurs when:


A) the variance of the random error is non-constant over the sample.
B) the regression coefficient estimates are highly unstable.
C) the random errors are correlated over time.
D) two or more explanatory variables are highly correlated.
E) the dependent and the explanatory variables are highly uncorrelated.

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What are the two main categories of forecasting models? How do they differ?

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Forecasting models often are divided int...

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Computing the F-statistic allows one to:


A) measure the forecasting accuracy of the regression equation.
B) determine which variable contributes the most explanatory power to the regression.
C) measure the degrees of freedom in the regression.
D) predict the increased explanation of any additional variables that might be included.
E) test the overall statistical significance of the regression equation.

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Suppose that in a given regression, the R2 = .945, the number of observations is 14, and the number of coefficients is 5. What is the adjusted R2? (round off your answer up to three decimal places)

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In this case, the degrees of f...

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