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The overconfidence trap in making forecasts leads a person to overestimate the accuracy of his or her forecasts.

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The inventory management system called LIFO, refers to selling your oldest inventory first.

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Maintaining the right level of inventory is a major factor influencing the financial health of an organization.

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An expected value for a decision tree is the value you would expect if


A) you calculated how much revenue is needed to break even.
B) your business were sold within 30 days.
C) a particular decision is made a large number of times.
D) you took a poll of what people want.

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A Pareto diagram is


A) an inventory method
B) a bar graph that ranks types of output variations by frequency of occurrence.
C) a forecasting tool.
D) a scenario for the future

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The critical path is the path through the PERT network with the


A) shortest completion time.
B) longest completion time.
C) most probable time.
D) pessimistic time.

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The two major variables considered by Gantt charts and milestone charts are


A) planned and actual work.
B) past and present.
C) time and motion.
D) price and cost.

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Time-series analysis is an historical approach to making forecasts.

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To speed up the completion of a project, the manager should attempt to give top priority to all activities not on the critical path.

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The World Future Society predicts that 100 million people with telecommute by the year 2015, illustrating a(n) ____ forecast.


A) economic
B) sales
C) technological
D) doomsday

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Juanita is a data-driven manager, so she


A) minimizes interaction with people when working.
B) bases her decisions on facts.
C) finely tunes her intuition.
D) emphasizes politics in her decision making.

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The prudence trap in making forecasts leads a person to make overly optimistic forecast so as not to appear too conservative.

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A decision tree is considered particularly useful in


A) evaluating costs over the life of a project.
B) making a sequence of decisions.
C) estimating the length of time required to achieve given return on investment.
D) determining when to drop a product line.

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The results of a time-series analysis are best represented by a(n)


A) equation with two variables.
B) chart or graph showing past trends and predicted future trends.
C) verbal summary of expert opinions.
D) pie chart of the various components of the analysis.

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Much of the accuracy of a PERT chart depends upon estimates of the time necessary to complete each activity.

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The economic-order quantity (EOQ) suggests the


A) right size orders to take.
B) break-even point for storing inventory.
C) break-even point for sales orders.
D) right amount of inventory to store.

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Data-driven management is more of an attitude and approach than a specific technique,

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The just-in-time system emphasizes that customer demand is the most important factor in determining how much product to manufacture.

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Explain the basics of a just-in-time (JIT) inventory system.

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The just-in-time (JIT) system is an inve...

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If a manager recalls success stories from global expansion to Singapore, he might overestimate the chances of succeeding in that country. This is an example of the recallability trap.

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